Tuesday, October 30, 2012

Final Prediction

With just a week and a day to go, here's the final Adolpfian prediction.

Popular vote:

Romney by five points or more.

Electoral College

Romney 291
Obama  247

Now let's sit back and watch it all happen.  If the shameless US media fails in its current bid to cover up and shield Obama from the awful reality of Benghazi, then the result will be even more decisive.

Comments are welcome but trolls will be summarily dispatched

23 comments:

Danyl said...

Popular vote: both around the 50% mark. Electoral vote: Obama 294, Romney 243.

Big Bruv said...

Obama will shit in. I don't want that to happen but the media will just not allow Romney to win.

JC said...

As I said on three blogs before the first debate.. Romney 53-54%, no need to worry about the EC.

Among the reasons for my confidence are these three:

America is a republic with a self correcting democracy.. whilst it occasionally ballsed up it generally cuts off duds like Obama from a second term.

For the last few elections each president seeking a second term has received within one percentage point what the preceding mid term House election gave to his party.. the Dems got 45%.

No contender has received 50% in the Gallup polls as Romney has at this time of the cycle and lost.

But really, this election is only partly about Obama.. its really a referendum on the US mainstream media and even if its puppet wins.. the polls show it loses.

JC

Adolf Fiinkensein said...

Disraeli said

Popular Vote: Obama 50% Romney 49% Electoral Vote: Obama - 277 Romney - 261 Obama to win: Ohio, Nevada, Iowa and Wisconsin. Romney to win: Florida, New Hampshire, Virginia, Colorado and North Carolina

Adolf Fiinkensein said...

There you go, Disraeli. Fixed but I had to repost your amended comment.

Moneo said...

Romney 50% Obama 49%

Romney 299
Obama 239

Blair said...

I think there will be a late surge for Romney - I think he'll take all the current swing states and get 348, including Maine's Second District.

Simon said...

Mittens will do it. If he was facing Hilary he would be in trouble but Zero is the ultimate hollow man.

Next will be the Dems night of long knives as the Clinton faction purge the Chicago gang.

Big Bird said...

Using the same analysis applied by Blair and Adolf, Obama will win 540-0.

Anonymous said...

Its a pity that of two losers one still has to win. Americans generally will be the losers but some of those will still think they've won because they are stupid while others will know they lost but not understand that they would still have been losers even if their guy won.

3:16

Adolf Fiinkensein said...

3:16

I can understand how you would perceive Obama to be a loser but pray tell what brings you to conclude a successful governor, businessman, games manager, churchman and family man deserves the same opprobrium?

Have you been supping too much of the left over communion wine?

Anonymous said...

It seems to me that the candidates are manufacured by media or PR firms looking to the popular causes and are fundamentally flawed because of that. The political system seems like a computer that has become self aware - it will do all manner of dodgy stuff to maintain its position and will ignore considerations of why it was created in the first place.

I remain amazed that so little is known about Obama's history - the president's past should be a fairly open book given the power of the position. I'd want to know what he thinks and why but suspect he says what's required at any particular time and the real man remains a mystery. Romney sems more open but the democrats raise concerns about his past as well.

While I would prefer Romney, who may be all those things you say, over Obama he has still made enough gaffs to make me think his knowledge of basic geography and world events is pretty shonky. The leader of the US needs to be someone who we can take seriously at a personal level. Being rich is a measure of money but not worth.

I think Mormonism is a cult but that doesn't make Romney bad or unacceptable per se of course.

Communion wine is alcohol free I gather.

3:16

peterquixote said...

No Minister can take a sad ranking for this idiot prediction. If there was anything woth saying apart from the electorsl vote going to Obama, it could be that the democratuic vote is divided

Big Bird said...

"what brings you to conclude a successful governor, businessman, games manager, churchman and family man deserves the same opprobrium?"

The guy wears magic underpants, dodged the draft to run away to France, traded off of daddy's contacts to get rich by outsourcing jobs, is hiding his tax records, has flip-flopped on every major issue, has no policy, is trading off an apparent career in business when he hasn't been involved in business this century, was a flop as Gov of Mass and has been unemployed for five years. If anyone deserves opprobrium it's him.

Grant M. McKenna said...

My bets were on President Obama because of the composition of the electoral college, but I think that the suspension of campaigning after hurricane Sandy seals Romney’s fate. Obama gets to act presidential, and Romney disappears. Benghazi vanishes from the news stream, even if it is still discussed elsewhere.

People stick with the "presidential" in time of crisis. If Obama does get in- and it may be that Romney wins the popular vote- I'd expect the hearings on Benghazi to provide us with this generation's equivalent of Watergate. It may be that by winning Obama will poison the well for a generation.

Anonymous said...

Big Birds post is brought to us by the letter "O" and the number 16 Trillion.

I see Hurricane Sandy has created more jobs than Barrack Obama.

The Governors do all the work when it comes to disasters in their States so, sorry , no chance for Pres O to take advantage.
And really the only voters who will still be undecided are those who voted for Obama last time and are mulling over whether to NOT vote or vote for Romney.

Captain Crab

Big Bird said...

"The Governors do all the work when it comes to disasters in their States so, sorry , no chance for Pres O to take advantage."

Only on planet Romney where FEMA doesn't exist. Te guy can't get anything right.

paul scott said...

Adolf said Disraeli said,
Disraeli said

"Popular Vote: Obama 50% Romney 49% Electoral Vote: Obama - 277 Romney - 261 Obama to win: Ohio, Nevada, Iowa and Wisconsin.
Romney to win: Florida, New Hampshire, Virginia, Colorado and North Carolina"

Predictions above good, but Colorado looking like Obama territory now, also possibly new Hampshire

paul scott said...

Adolf can eat humble pie soon, bad prediction, right wing belief pattern leading hi
m astray

paul scott said...

How about wager No Minister?
I bet $NZ100 on Obama , you get real and back Romney with $100.

Liberty said...

You are wrong Obama will win.
Simply because he is bright and has the X factor
The only down side to Obama is he is a socialist.
While Romney sounds like a bible belt evangelist.

cribble said...

Gee, I love it when a plan comes together....

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