Update: Brumby concedes defeat.
Its election night in Victoria and the latest polls indicate the Coalition might win. Most commentators predict a hung parliament.
Update: 2012hrs: ABC Australia predicting Coalition win with possibly 47 seats out of 90.
2053: So far with just under one percent counted the Coalition is a country mile ahead with National streets ahead of anyone else. Well, obviously that's because it's mostly rural booths counted thus far.
2100: 2.5% counted and Coalition 57%, Labor 26%. Don't get too excited, this is an FFP election so what matters is who wins how many seats. Won't know much for another hour.
2103: 3.5% counted Coalition 52%, Labor 29%, Greens 10%. A whopping 4.3% of the votes are informal. Dumbarse Ockers! In case you didn't know, voting is compulsory.
2110: 5.6% counted. No change. These are first preference votes. So, where no candidate makes 50% or better in a seat, the one with the least votes is eliminated and that candidates second preferences are distributed to the remaining candidate. It might be a long night.
2113: 8.0% counted. Coalition 51%, Labour 30%, Greens 10%. These are the Greens who killed 140 or so people in bush fires last year.
2121: 10% counted. Coalition 51%, Labor 31%, Greens 10%. Hell, I might need to open another bottle of shiraz.
2130: 15.8% counted. Coalition 49%, Labor 33%, Greens 10%. Now it starts to get interesting. I'll have to start watching for confirmed results in in individual electorates.
2136: 20% counted. Coalition 48%, Labor 34%, Greens 10%. According to the ABC the Coalition has won 36 seats and Labor 18. Victory goes to whoever wins 45 seats.
2143: 24% counted. Coalition 47$, Labor 24%, Greens 10%.
2147: 29% counted. Coalition 38%, Labor 25%, Greens 10%. Looks like a toss up between sanity and government by the Greens.
2145: 33.3% counted. Coalition 47%, Labor 35%, Greens 11%. How can a whole 11% of the population be stupid enough to vote for these killers? 140 fire victims and now 29 West Coast miners.
2205: ABC has it 43 seats for the Coalition and 33 seats for Labor. Looking pretty good for the Good Guys. Only two to go.
2008: 41% counted. Coalition 46%, Labor 36%, Greens 11%. Victorians can thank their lucky stars they don't have MMP.
2022: ABC predicting 46 seats for the Coalition and 35 for Labor.
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4 comments:
Big swing to the Coalition. Good job. I'm particularly following the result for Doncaster - Mary Wooldridge. She's in a safe Liberal seat but has increased her vote from 51% to 66% - but only 26% counted thus far.
Gooner.
Looks OK with 62% finally.
Today Victoria; tomorrow (or March)
NSW; later Queeenland. Labor State Governments on the rocks.
Soon the only State to have a Labor Government will be South Australia and Adolf will have something to say and do about that.
The bigger question ... how long can the Gillard Government last?
It's a great result, especially since it was in part the Coalition's decision to dump the Greens and stick to their own brand which helped them.
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